Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 10.750384 12.285565 13.971319 15.961259 18.248111 20.796312 23.854479
2025-12-07 8.725527 10.743744 13.136118 16.186910 19.982650 24.561216 30.520646
2025-12-14 7.442385 9.657743 12.429449 16.163120 21.079221 27.356122 36.018843
2025-12-21 6.480522 8.778147 11.782646 16.016513 21.858084 29.676442 41.005767
2025-12-28 5.987667 8.421708 11.730650 16.582744 23.560250 33.298045 48.036098
2026-01-04 5.536162 8.052246 11.593328 16.974062 25.004778 36.642837 54.963242
2026-01-11 5.204845 7.806558 11.586416 17.521293 26.688067 40.443757 62.902560
2026-01-18 4.674314 7.206223 10.990915 17.110894 26.859992 41.957185 67.434415
2026-01-25 4.250585 6.723325 10.519266 16.829106 27.176396 43.681641 72.417648
2026-02-01 3.886269 6.296782 10.090804 16.563274 27.471462 45.365255 77.453305
2026-02-08 3.564636 5.908115 9.684584 16.287153 27.706582 46.943328 82.423774
2026-02-15 3.280340 5.554982 9.303362 16.011451 27.903066 48.449414 87.378593
2026-02-22 3.192094 5.528603 9.470248 16.699250 29.851474 53.191737 98.690917
2026-03-01 3.036377 5.371506 9.398781 16.957759 31.052342 56.706881 108.087832
2026-03-08 2.850439 5.144171 9.183241 16.931869 31.719774 59.290558 115.945794
2026-03-15 2.663229 4.898464 8.913364 16.778032 32.124705 61.403222 123.069631
2026-03-22 2.596915 4.869829 9.035827 17.372348 34.014060 66.521153 136.744560
2026-03-29 2.510013 4.794644 9.063851 17.783101 35.572715 71.118553 149.802676
2026-04-05 2.448853 4.763465 9.171650 18.357540 37.506798 76.635573 165.368063
2026-04-12 2.273735 4.495007 8.797799 17.926733 37.327563 77.774650 171.509854
2026-04-19 2.128229 4.274611 8.502070 17.630943 37.402852 79.447088 178.993698
2026-04-26 1.996096 4.071461 8.225670 17.351912 37.486751 81.137704 186.677255
2026-05-03 1.873100 3.878095 7.954925 17.062090 37.519493 82.712551 194.239821